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Tennessee TitansWan'Dale Robinson
#4 · WR · 5' 8" · 185 lb · 14 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 13 of these 14 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Kentucky
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 68.9 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutWan'Dale Robinson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Robinson was even more quiet in his second contest with Tennessee after he caught five passes for 38 yards in his lackluster Titans' regular-season debut Week 1 versus the Jets. The wide receiver is coming off of a 2025 campaign during which he notched 1,014 yards and four touchdowns (both career highs) on 92 catches over 16 regular-season contests with the Giants, and he'll have to establish chemistry with new quarterback Cam Ward quickly if he wants to come anywhere close to those numbers. Robinson and the Titans will travel to face the Giants on the road in Week 3.
Verdict
vs 37.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 65% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line65supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
54.2 REC YDS(×0.85 context)
L5 51.6 · L10 65.3 · med 50.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 35.2 · ceil 102.2
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2014 games
71%over
10 over · 4 under
Medium confidence95% CI 45%–88%Season14 games
71%over
10 over · 4 under
Medium confidence95% CI 45%–88%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 11/14 | ||
| 79% | 11/14 | ||
| 71% | 10/14 | ||
| 37.5Current | 71% | 10/14 | |
| 64% | 9/14 | ||
| 64% | 9/14 | ||
| 64% | 9/14 |
Situational splits
Over 37.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%4/6Low
Away75%6/8Low
Days since last game
3+ days69%9/13Medium
Next matchup — @ NYG
Sep 27, 2026
29thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
NYG allows 31.3 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Wan'Dale Robinson has gone over 37.5 REC YDS 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 71% across the full season. NYG has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 29th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (31.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 41.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Line shopping — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (37.5 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 71%.