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Tennessee TitansWan'Dale Robinson Targets
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Wan'Dale Robinson has gone over 9.5 TGT in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Kentucky
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Targets · season avg 9.5 TGT · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutWan'Dale Robinson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Robinson was even more quiet in his second contest with Tennessee after he caught five passes for 38 yards in his lackluster Titans' regular-season debut Week 1 versus the Jets. The wide receiver is coming off of a 2025 campaign during which he notched 1,014 yards and four touchdowns (both career highs) on 92 catches over 16 regular-season contests with the Giants, and he'll have to establish chemistry with new quarterback Cam Ward quickly if he wants to come anywhere close to those numbers. Robinson and the Titans will travel to face the Giants on the road in Week 3.
Verdict
vs 9.5 TGTTargetsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 30% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)53neutral
Projection vs line30argues against it
Consistency55neutral
Projection
7.9 TGT(×0.85 context)
L5 8.8 · L10 10.1 · med 10.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 7.0 · ceil 11.4
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2014 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Season14 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Alternate lines — Targets (TGT)
TGT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 12/14 | ||
| 71% | 10/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 9.5Current | 50% | 7/14 | |
| 36% | 5/14 | ||
| 21% | 3/14 | ||
| 14% | 2/14 |
Situational splits
Over 9.5 TGT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%2/6Low
Away63%5/8Low
Days since last game
3+ days54%7/13Low
Next matchup — @ NYG
Sep 27, 2026
13thof 32 in TGT allowed to wide receivers
NYG allows 6.0 TGT per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Wan'Dale Robinson has gone over 9.5 TGT 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 50% across the full season. NYG has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 13th-most TGT of 32 teams (6.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game TGT have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 2.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Wan'Dale Robinson research
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Robinson Receiving TDs→
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Robinson Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)→
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Defense vs Position→
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NFL Heat Check→
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Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.