Tennessee Titans

Wan'Dale Robinson Receiving TDs

Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Wan'Dale Robinson has gone over 0.5 REC TD in 3 of his last 7 decided games (43%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Kentucky
Experience: 6 seasons

Line

PrizePicksReceiving TDs · season avg 0.4 REC TD · our line

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OutWan'Dale Robinson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Robinson didn't experience a significant change in role in the absence of Carnell Tate (shoulder), as this was the fourth consecutive game in which Robinson notched either six or seven targets. His 57 receiving yards tied a season high, and Robinson scored his third touchdown of the season on a 15-yard catch in the fourth quarter. The Titans took a seven-point lead with 3:46 remaining after a successful two-point conversion following Robinson's TD, but the Bengals answered with a game-tying touchdown drive and eventually won in OT to drop the Titans to 1-7. Robinson and the Titans will be on bye in Week 9 before returning to action against the Jaguars in Week 10.

Verdict

vs 0.5 REC TDReceiving TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 64% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)71supports it

Projection vs line64supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.4 REC TD(×0.91 context)

L5 0.4 · L10 0.4 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 107 games

43%over

3 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%

Last 207 games

43%over

3 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%

Season7 games

43%over

3 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%

Alternate lines — Receiving TDs (REC TD)

REC TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	43%	3/7
	0%	0/7
	0%	0/7
	0%	0/7

Last 7 games — REC TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REC TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/3Low

Away75%3/4Low

Days since last game

3+ days50%3/6Low

Last matchup — @ CIN

Nov 1, 2026

12thof 32 in REC TD allowed to wide receivers

CIN allows 0.3 REC TD per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 25 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 7 games, Wan'Dale Robinson has gone over 0.5 REC TD 3 of 7 decided times (43%) — versus 43% across the full season. CIN has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 12th-most REC TD of 32 teams (0.3 per game). His game-to-game REC TD have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 43%.