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Cleveland BrownsQuinshon Judkins
#10 · RB · 6' 0" · 221 lb · 16 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 14 of these 16 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Ohio State
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 55.1 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutQuinshon Judkins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Judkins once again handled a clear No. 1 role in Cleveland's ground attack, but he unsurprisingly found running room at a premium against the Buccaneers' stout defensive front. The second-year back was able to make up for the lack of rushing production to an extent with his work as a receiver, which saw him tie for the second-most receptions on the afternoon for the Browns. Judkins is averaging a meager 2.3 yards per carry through the first two games, but he has a useful 7-44-0 receiving line on seven targets in that same span as a Week 3 home matchup against the Panthers approaches next Sunday.
Verdict
vs 53.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 66% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60supports it
Projection vs line66supports it
Consistency9argues against it
Projection
33.3 RUSH YDS(×0.83 context)
L5 24.6 · L10 41.4 · med 29.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 22.0 · ceil 84.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
0%over
0 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2016 games
50%over
8 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–72%Season16 games
50%over
8 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–72%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 8/16 | ||
| 50% | 8/16 | ||
| 50% | 8/16 | ||
| 53.5Current | 50% | 8/16 | |
| 50% | 8/16 | ||
| 50% | 8/16 | ||
| 50% | 8/16 |
Situational splits
Over 53.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home71%5/7Low
Away33%3/9Low
Days since last game
3+ days47%7/15Low
Next matchup — vs CAR
Sep 27, 2026
1stof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
CAR allows 86.8 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Quinshon Judkins has gone over 53.5 RUSH YDS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 50% across the full season. CAR has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 1st-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (86.8 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 29.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.