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Cleveland BrownsQuinshon Judkins
#10 · RB · 6' 0" · 221 lb · 14 games
Stats updated: Dec 21, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Ohio State
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 59.1 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutQuinshon Judkins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
"I'm gonna push him to find out," Staley added of Judkins, who is participating in training camp after recovering from a dislocated right ankle and fractured fibula suffered in Week 16 of the 2025 season. Prior to the injury, Judkins enjoyed a productive rookie campaign, totaling 998 scrimmage yards and seven rushing touchdowns in 14 regular-season appearances. Judkins is expected to work as Cleveland's lead back, with fellow second-year pro Dylan Sampson serving in a change-of-pace role.
Verdict
vs 59.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 63% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60neutral
Projection vs line63supports it
Consistency16argues against it
Projection
42.5 RUSH YDS(×0.93 context)
L5 41.4 · L10 48.0 · med 41.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 24.4 · ceil 86.8
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2014 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Season14 games
50%over
7 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 57% | 8/14 | ||
| 59.5Current | 50% | 7/14 | |
| 50% | 7/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 | ||
| 43% | 6/14 |
Situational splits
Over 59.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home57%4/7Low
Away43%3/7Low
Days since last game
3+ days46%6/13Low
With a teammate out
How this RUSH YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Shedeur Sanders out+25.8 RUSH YDS when he sits
Without (8g)
70.1 RUSH YDS
75% over 59.5
With (6g)
44.3 RUSH YDS
17% over 59.5
Dillon Gabriel out-26.6 RUSH YDS when he sits
Without (5g)
42.0 RUSH YDS
20% over 59.5
With (9g)
68.6 RUSH YDS
67% over 59.5
Last matchup — vs BUF
Dec 21, 2025
7thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
BUF allows 53.0 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 37 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Quinshon Judkins has gone over 59.5 RUSH YDS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 50% across the full season. BUF has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 7th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (53.0 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 29.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.