Cleveland Browns

Quinshon Judkins Receiving TDs

Stats updated: Dec 21, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Quinshon Judkins has gone over 0.5 REC TD in 0 of his last 10 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Ohio State
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksReceiving TDs · season avg 0.0 REC TD · our line

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OutQuinshon Judkins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

"I'm gonna push him to find out," Staley added of Judkins, who is participating in training camp after recovering from a dislocated right ankle and fractured fibula suffered in Week 16 of the 2025 season. Prior to the injury, Judkins enjoyed a productive rookie campaign, totaling 998 scrimmage yards and seven rushing touchdowns in 14 regular-season appearances. Judkins is expected to work as Cleveland's lead back, with fellow second-year pro Dylan Sampson serving in a change-of-pace role.

Verdict

vs 0.5 REC TDReceiving TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 REC TD(×0.93 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 1010 games

0%over

0 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%

Last 2014 games

0%over

0 over · 14 under

High confidence95% CI 0%–22%

Season14 games

0%over

0 over · 14 under

High confidence95% CI 0%–22%

Alternate lines — Receiving TDs (REC TD)

REC TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/14
	0%	0/14
	0%	0/14
	0%	0/14

Last 14 games — REC TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REC TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/7Medium

Away0%0/7Medium

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/13High

With a teammate out

How this REC TD line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Shedeur Sanders out

Without (8g)

0.0 REC TD

0% over 0.5

With (6g)

0.0 REC TD

0% over 0.5

Dillon Gabriel out

Without (5g)

0.0 REC TD

0% over 0.5

With (9g)

0.0 REC TD

0% over 0.5

Last matchup — vs BUF

Dec 21, 2025

20thof 32 in REC TD allowed to running backs

BUF allows 0.1 REC TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 37 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Quinshon Judkins has gone over 0.5 REC TD 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. BUF has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 20th-most REC TD of 32 teams (0.1 per game). His game-to-game REC TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.